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Kumar Bijoy
FIVE WAVES
Started Peaked
1898-1902
Ended
1904 1921 1969 1989
1st
U.S
2nd 3rd
4th 5th
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1st WAVE
Merging for Monopoly
Horizontal Merger
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1st Wave
Create monopoly
US Steel by J P Morgan Carnegie Steel by Andrew Carnegie
US Steel
75% of mkt.
1st Wave
Creation of trusts Put their stock in a voting trust and agreed not to compete against each other. e.g : Sugar trusts Copper trusts Shipping trusts etc.
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1st Wave
Products: GE Dupont Eastman Kodak Navistar International etc.
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1st Wave.End
Due to financial factors: stock market crash-1904 panic in banking 1907 The Application of anti-trust legislations.
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nd 2
Wave: 1916-1929
Merging For Oligopoly Consolidation Fueled by first world war The anti-trust became more stricter thru Clayton Act,1914 Resulted vertical merger.
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2nd Wave
E.g. Ford Motor vertically integrated co. Mfg. own tyres from rubber produced from its own plantation in Brazil. Mfg. Own steel for body of car which in turn got iron from its own mines and shipped on its own railroad.
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2nd Wave
Conglomerates non related fields
Industries 1. Food products
2nd WaveEnd
Stock mkt crash 1929
Black Thursday 29thOct1929.
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3rd Wave
1960s Bull mkt. Eq. Sh - P/E multiple of certain cos.
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Business Combinations
Reasons: Growth Economies of Scale Synergy NAV = PVab ( PVa + PVb ) P E Managerial efficiency Market entry Acquire Technology Diversification Tax shields Strategic
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Business Combinations
Some unstated reasons for acquisitions
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Why not?
Grasping for a company simply because its on the market or because a competitor wants to buy it It is available for sale It seems very attractive
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Types of Mergers
Horizontal Merger Vertical Merger Conglomeration Market Extension Merger Product Extension Merger
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Merger: Nokia-Siemens
A new 50-50 JV company Nokia-Siemens Network (3rd largest communications equipment provider in the world after Ericsson and Alcatel/Lucent) Annual revenue : Euro 16bn Workforce : 60000 (expected job cuts 1015% in next 4yrs mainly in Germany) Cost reduction of Euro1.5bn per year by 2010
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Theories of Mergers
Differential efficiency Inefficient management Financial synergy Operating synergy Strategic realignment Undervaluation
Short term results Vs Long term investment Market below replacement cost
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Theories of Mergers
Information and signaling Agency problems and Managerialism
Protect or build the empire Free cash flow theory
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Valuation
Acquirers perspective Sellers perspective Lenders perspective Investors perspective
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Acquirers perspective
Increase the synergy / Decrease the premium Managerial synergy
ICICI acquired ITC classic India Cement acquired Visaka cement, Raasi cement, CCI plant at Yerraguntla
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Acquirers perspective
Regulatory considerations: to bypass the law of fully owned subsidiaries by foreign co. e.g. Whirlpool (Indian Wing) merged with Expo Machinery & Kelvinator India = Whirlpool India Size: e.g. Merger of SCICI & ICICI Financial synergy: channeling of cash/resources Diversifying risk: e.g. Torrent group acquired Ahmadabad electricity Co and Surat electricity
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Sellers perspective
Good price: Godrejs offer of Rs 100cr to Transelectra more attractive than Unilever Better business relationship: SRF Ltd sold SRF finance to G E Caps at lower price Better mgmt and employee care: JRD Tata had imposed a condition on S M Datta of HLL that after merger, not a single employee of TOMCO would be retrenched
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Lenders perspective
Creating shareholders value: e.g. APIDC the lending institution sold its 2.3% stake of Raasi cements to India cements Better corporate governance Better portfolio
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Investors perspective
Addition to their wealth Potential growth: e.g. shareholders of Raasi have positively responded to the open offer of India Cements (Rs 300ps)
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P/E depends on
Goodwill of the business Proven abilities Character of the business
Tangible assets & Intangible assets: valued either at fair value or at the open market value Free cash flows: DCF method (discounted at WACC or higher) The substitution cost is calculated and compared with acquisition cost Kumar Bijoy
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Personnel:
Nicholas lab acquired Roche for its well trained sales force
HLL acquired BBLIL for its 17brands in Tea segment India cement acquired Raasi cement and Visaka cements
Product:
Plant:
Potential:
Profit:
Valuations.Practical e.g.
Coca cola has offered the price to Parle soft drinks equal to its turnover Khaitans of Williamson Major have paid a price of Rs290cr to the Union Carbide (Rs 150cr for their future earnings, Rs 100 for the brand value (Eveready) and Rs40cr for giving mgmt stake in co. Whirlpool Corporation paid Rs 300cr for its 51% stake in Kelvinator India. The share price was fixed at Rs 197.16ps (total 1.52cr shares) which is the average share price over the previous six months.
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Lazard Capital applies a thumb rule in valuing a FMCG co i.e. 1 to 1.5 times of its turnover SRF paid a sum of Rs 325cr for acquiring the Ceats Nylon tyre cord plant. A new plant of same capacity would have cost Rs 450cr with a gestation period of 18 months. Bayer India has offered Rs 80ps of ABS. Independent valuers like C C Choksi & co, ICICI securities and SR Batliboi & co had suggested the Rs 65 -70 per share for the offer
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What will be the effects on other firms in the same industry? Whether the return to the common stock of individual firm or group of firms is greater or less than that predicted by general market relationship b/w return and risk What is the reasonable time frame for testing merger success?
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Sell-offs
Opportunistic
Forced Planned
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Divestitures
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securities or both.
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Negotiated sale
Auction sale
Valuation
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Takeover Defenses
Share Repurchases White Knights Poison Pills
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Takeover Defenses
Corporate Charter Amendments Golden Parachutes Greenmail Standstill Agreements
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Takeover Defenses
Poison Puts White Squire Pacman Strategy Crown Jewels
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Corporate Restructuring
Going Public
Going Private Joint Venture
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