Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
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Credit produce Income as well as Risk Expected Vs Unexpected losses Expected loss is statistical tool which will occur on an average Unexpected loss is deviation from average Default risk-Probability of default riskExposure risk-Exposure at default riskRecovery risk-Loss given default riskEL=PDXEADXLGD
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Credit risk-examples riskDirect lending- repayment is not made lending Non fund- funds not forthcoming on fundcrystallization of LC/BG Series of payment due from bonds are not forthcoming on due dates Security trading- settlement not tradingforthcoming Cross border exposure- currency exposuremovement not taking place
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Basic model
NPA written off on the bank s profit PBT/NPA Will wipe out bank profit Margin of safety
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Empirical techniques- historical default techniquesrate Market based models- Counter party modelsmarket data to infer likelihood of default
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Risk Management
Exposure norms for sectors Exposure norms for individuals Exposure norms for group
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Bank may face credit risk other than loan and advances say
Acceptances (letter of credit) Inter bank transactions Trade financing Foreign exchange transactions Future, swaps, options etc.
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Credit Rating
Bench mark criterion for investors, borrowers, banks, financial institutions Ratings helps to compare performance Used as a decision making tool Trend Started in 1970- two international 1970agency Standard & Poor and Moody s Investor service CRICIL, ICRA, FITCH etc are rating agencies in India
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Credit Rating
Information to investors-Investors risk investorsperception to Actual Credit Rating- investor may Ratinginvest or hold the security Bank use to support lending decision or staying invested or charging rate of interest Issuers also see benefits and pay for it RegulatorsRegulators- capital market investment and bank to rate borrower and risk weight of assets for capital adequacy
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Recovery
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Loan Syndication
Sharing of loan with other banks Earning fee based income through syndication
Loan Participation
IBPC with recourse-remain in balance sheet recourseIBPC without recourse Move out of balance sheet
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Loan Securitization
Process of selling loans Homogeneous pool of loan assets that generates a predictable stream of future cash flow Remove assets from bank s book
Process
Originators to sell loan to a SPV (special purpose vehicle) Converted into securities - ABS (assets based securities) Sold to investors without recourse Interest of investor is saved through over collateralization, senior & subordinated structure , credit enhancement ( backed by letter of credit)
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Credit derivatives
Way to insure credit losses Pay off linked to credit related event such as borrower default, credit rating down grades, value of security going down Bank transferring credit risk is called protection buyer and counter party (ready to bear credit risk) is called protection seller Are typically unfunded- protection seller need unfundednot invest money upfront
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Credit derivatives
Typical products are
CDO (credit default options) CDS (credit default swaps)
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CLOCLO- Originating bank transfer pool of loans, the bonds that emerge are called collateralized loan transfer CBOCBO- Originating bank transfer a pool of bonds, securitize them, these are called collateralized bond transfer Generic name of CLO and CBO is CREDIT DEFAULT OPTION Typical securitization purpose is liquidity & interest rate risk whereas in CLO/CBO are meant for credit risk transfer, capital relief, arbitrage, balance sheet optimization
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Easy and cost effective means to hedge portfolio risk Permit substantial flexibility and increase profitability efficiency Hedge against interest rate risk Efficient than loan sales Bank action is not visible to borrowers and market, hence remaining secret Loan sale call for substantial information and bank to incur more cost and obligations
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