Sie sind auf Seite 1von 18

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Building the Baltic grids. What needs to be done ? LitPol and SwedLit interconnections or competitive solutions. Can truly independent transmission grids can be realized ? Current challenges and future opportunities The impact of poor governance and lack of political clarity. Piotr Syryczy ski WS Atkins Polska

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Introduction
The ideas developed in the North Sea What needs to be done ? Bottlenecks on Polish side of the Baltic Sea Economy, stupid ! Destabilization of the equilibrium during next years 2800 MW through the Baltic Sea ? Competitive solutions, What can be done later ? Fast DC breakers Can truly independent transmission grids can be realized ?

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Lack of general plan


Synchronization of Baltic electricity market with European electricity market is hindered due to lack of sufficient interconnections and clear rules on allocation of capacity, on management of congestion and on balancing; BEMIP High level group is now discussing this issue, but there is up to now no agreements made on further steps; BEMIP planned activities include setting timeframe for de-synchonization of Baltic network operation from Russia and Belarus as well as EU-level discussions with Russia on implementing internal electricity market rules also on Russian side; Additional asynchronous cables connecting Baltic States with Poland, Sweden and Finland will be ready by the end of 2015 as planned in the BEMIP;
presentation by Gatis Abele in Baltic electricity infrastructure, synchronization with European Power Network

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

North Sea Countries Offshore Grid Initiative (NSCOGI)


The report http://www.offshoregrid.eu indicates the need for: wind farm hubs: the joint connection of various farms; tee-in connections; the connection of various producers (say wind farms) to a pre-existing or planned transmission line or interconnector between countries; hub-to-hub connection: This can be also interpreted as an alternative to a direct interconnector between the countries in question. The authors had proposed The Split Design starting by building lower-cost interconnectors by splitting wind farm connections in order to connect them to two shores. Integrated solutions and meshed links would be applied.
intelligent investment in emerging markets www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

What needs to be done ?


the cooperation between the parties is very low the dominance of dual cross-border connections under the full supervision and political control of governments Development plans are treated as confidential We cannot verify whether our Client has a real chances for connection to high voltage grid in 2015 or 2017 or 2020
intelligent investment in emerging markets www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Bottlenecks on Polish side of the Baltic Sea


Exemplary table for limitations in trading capacity as enforced by neighbouring TSOs 1st quarter 2011
Interconnector Average from Sweden to: reduction Export Import South Norway 15 % 51 % Central Norway 2 % 0% North Norway 1% 1% West Denmark 11 % 0 % East Denmark 0% 1% Germany 0% 4% Poland 27 % 82 % Finland 7% -3%

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Bottlenecks on Polish side of the Baltic Sea


1353 negative decisions in the period 2009-2010 for new connection contracts for the total amount of 9745 MW electrical power. Gdansk (225 3179 MWel), Poznan (428 - 2968 MWel), Szczecin (318 - 1233 MWel) and Wroc aw (185 - 1060 MWel).
Obszary lokalizacji farm wiatrowych do roku 2020

Energia w dobrych r kach

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Economy, stupid!
2*900 MW Opole coal fired unit ? Vatenfall Polish assets transaction ? modernization of Dolna Odra power plant in Szczecin near the Baltic Sea ? ZE PAK and Konin mines ? Who will pay 5,6 bln Euro for land lines and 440/220 kV substations investments ?

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Destabilization of the equilibrium


Phasing out the German nuclear plants will cause several disturbances for grid stability ; Lower CO2 limits and IED Directive will phase out at least 1800 MW or 3000 MW in coal-fired units in Poland around the 2014-2016 period ; Wind energy program as blockage of long term transmission contracts through Poland No import from Belarus to Poland? Second nuclear unit in Kaliningrad will destabilize the local grids if this unit will NOT be connected both to Polish and Lithuanian grids

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Destabilization of the equilibrium


2800 MW through the Baltic Sea ? Environmental decision in 6 months ? The impact of poor governance and lack of political clarity In post 2016 period Polish government cannot guarantee real transfer of electricity in the amount of 3.000 MW4.000 MW from east to west due to lack of real power over the timeline of the investment processes for new 400 kv lines

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Competitive solutions
Competitive solutions: Five new hubs idea Hub nr 1 : 55 N, 13,3 E (Krieger s Flak) Hub nr 2 : 55 N, 15,3 E (Bornholm area) Hub nr 3 : 55,6 N, 17,7 E Hub nr 4 : 55,6 N, 20,3 E Hub nr 5 : 54,39 N, 22,87 E

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Additional ideas
Hubs and the first west-east cable through the hubs is one entity 2100 MW additional west-east cables will be built as three separated projects ( merchant cables ) Hubs number 1-4 should have the capacity to connect at least 400 MW offshore wind farms or more Baltic Grid cannot be built tomorrow. It should be slowly constructed but it can be based on a real technical program
intelligent investment in emerging markets www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

FHS system and its future


The proposed Five Hub System [ FHS ] including additional lines to these hubs,700 MW NordBalt line, 500 MW PolLit line, and three new 700 MW (in total 2100 MW) energetic backbone across Baltic Sea will probably allow synchronous connection between Lithuania, Latvia and UCPTE so at this moment the disconnection from IPS/UPS system can be performed. Kaliningrad area can join the system as well
intelligent investment in emerging markets www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Fast DC breakers
The safe multi-terminal operation of such an offshore grid based on HVDC VSC technology requires fast DC breakers, which are still in the development phase at end of 2011. So far, fast DC breakers are not fully developed and multi-terminal operation is not possible. In case of an offshore grid failure the complete grid has to be deenergised, the fault has to be isolated, and only then can the offshore grid be loaded again. This can also have serious impact on the onshore grid stability due to frequency problems. Furthermore it should be highlighted that TSOs do not have any experience with multi-terminal operation based on HVDC VSC technology. Offshore Grid report, October 2011 http://www.offshoregrid.eu/

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Fast DC breakers
The statement you re quoting is partially correct. Interruption of HVDC fault currents is an extremely challenging task and the topic of research for many manufacturers and universities world-wide. In my group we re studying arcs for HVDC switchgear and try simulate the short-circuits in VSC based HVDC networks. In the moment, no commercially available HVDC circuit breaker exists that would fit for VSC networks. It is even so dramatic, that nobody is able to give the requirement specifications for these breakers. In September 2011, on the Cigre-conference in Bologna, the first (at least to my knowledge) prototype of a fast (based on semiconductors) HVDC circuit breaker was presented. Christian M. Franck, Assistant Professor, Dr. rer. nat. ETH Zrich - High Voltage Laboratory

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Conclusions
Can truly independent transmission grids be realized ? Yes, it needs time and effort and designing new technical solutions above the heads of politicians. If not, we can discuss for ages on the subject of dual cross-border lines. With politically nominated TSO managers at the end of each line we will have an inefficient and costly system with many bottlenecks due to the various unspecified reasons. How to proceed quickly?

intelligent investment in emerging markets

www.eelevents.co.uk

3rd Annual Baltic Energy Forum

8-9 November 2011, Vilnius

Conclusions
Let s write together an application for EU funds for similar project. Let s say clearly that this project is for transit of energy to Central Europe from new plants located in the east. Let s agree on principles without typical attempt to block each other country Let s construct each hub for multiple connection with three or four land TSOs, let s invite the best technical firms for solving the necessary technical problems with such new layout
intelligent investment in emerging markets www.eelevents.co.uk

Das könnte Ihnen auch gefallen