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The last few years have seen extreme volatility in USDINR and G3 currencies Correlation to equities and oil has been high Corporate selling of USD contributed significantly to volatility. Not only spot, forwards have also been very volatile. Initiatives towards stricter Accounting principles.
Translates to
Need for a sound Risk Management Policy Analyzing the profit and loss profile and balance sheet exposures Strict definition of treasury role
USD sentiment Performance of equity markets Performance of other Asian currencies Performance of key commodities affecting trade Policy announcements affecting flows trade or capital
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Market participants Market makers Hedgers, arbitrageurs, speculators Banks, institutions, corporate entities, individuals
Regulators
Quotation methods Direct method (European Method) Indirect method (American method)
46.48/46.49
Bid Bank is ready to buy dollars, i.e. exporters will have to sell at this rate
Ask Bank is ready to sell dollars at this rate, i.e. importers will have to buy at this rate
Note : In case of indirect quote, one must take care of Bid Ask rate. Also the difference between the Bid/Ask is Banks profit.
Bid Ask Banks buying rate Banks selling rate USD/INR USD/JPY 46.41 46.43 89.32 89.34
Exchange Rate expressed in local currency in terms of per unit of Foreign Currency.
EUR/USD
1.4100
This would mean that EURO has appreciated against the Dollar. That US $ has depreciated against the Dollar.
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PROFITABILITY
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According to estimates by market players, around 20 per cent of the currency trades in over the counter (OTC) market is done in non-dollar currency. Introduction of new currency pairs will help in improving the depth and breadth of the currency market. Directional Views Hedging Existing Exposure Transparency in the Cross rates on the CDS platform will help the corporate to mitigate the curtail two-currency risk
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Contract specification
Category Trading Hours Description 9:00 am to 5:00 pm (Monday to Friday on all business day) 12 near calendar months Two business days prior to last business day of the month (spot convention).
Contract Months
EUR-INR
GBP-INR
Rate of exchange between 1 GBP and INR (GBPINR) GBP 1000
JPY-INR
Quotation
Contract Size
USD 1000
EURO 1000
JPY 100000
Rs. 400 for a spread of 1 month; Rs 500 for a spread of 2 months, Rs 800 for a spread of 3 months
Rs.700 for spread of 1 month Rs.1000 for spread of 2 months Rs.1500 for spread of 3 months or more
Rs.1500 for spread of 1 Rs.600 for spread month of 1 month Rs.1800 for Rs.1000 for spread of 2 spread of 2 months months Rs.2000 for Rs.1500 for spread of 3 spread of 3 months or months or more more
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Position Limits
USD-INR
6% of the Open Interest or USD 10 Million whichever is higher 15% of the Open Interest or USD 50 Million whichever is higher 15% of the Open Interest or USD 100 Million whichever is higher
EURO-INR
6% of the Open Interest or EUR 5 Million whichever is higher
Client Level
15% of the Open Interest or EUR 25 Million whichever is higher 15% of the Open Interest or EUR 50 Million whichever is higher
15% of the Open Interest or GBP 25 Million whichever is higher 15% of the Open Interest or GBP 50 Million whichever is higher
15% of the Open Interest or JPY 1000 Million whichever is higher 15% of the Open Interest or JPY 2000 Million whichever is higher
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Bank
Margins / collaterals
Based on previous day volatility. Released once trade is unwound or the contract matures.
Forms of collaterals
Cash, bank guarantees, fixed deposits, GOI bonds, approved equities / mutual fund units.
Releasing collaterals
Cash next day in the bank a/c, FD and BG same day. Approved securities to custodians on same day.
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Daily settlement
T + 1.
Through your clearing member. Paid or received in cash.
Final settlement
RBI fixing price at 12 noon on last trading day. Net settled in cash.
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Trade explanation 1
Trade date (7 April): USDINR 27 April contract: Current Spot rate: Buy 100 April contracts: Hold contract to expiry:
44.4000 44.2500 Value Rs. 44,40,000 (USD 1000 *100* 44.40) RBI fixing rate on 27 April 11 45.0000
Futures return: Profit, Rupees 60,000 (45,00,000 44,40,000) Margins: Approx. 4.00%: Rs 1,77,600 Funding @ 12%: Rs 1780 (if margins paid in cash) Net return: Rs. 58,220 Margins (collateral) can be paid in FDs, Bank Guarantees, Approved Securities Daily Mark to Market will be received / paid in Cash
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Credit Exposure Exposure to your counterparty (bank) Execution Margins / MTM Only by Authorized Dealer Nil
Hedging
What is a hedge A position established in one market in an attempt to offset exposure to the price risk of an equal but opposite obligation in another market Why hedge Costs & Revenues in different currencies
Understanding your risk profile and appetite to take risks, determines your risk management policy
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Scenario 1
Indian Co. sold a Raw Material to USA based Co. for 10,00,000 USD with an expected remittance in Eight month. When you enter into sell transaction of 10,00,000 USD/INR, Meaning you Sold 10,00,000 USD by buying 4,79,80,000 INR. Sold 1000 contracts of December 2011 maturity on NSE On 28 December 2011, the contract will expire and the payment trade needs to be executed Sold USD 10,00,000 to a bank at RBI fixing rate on 28 December 2011.Banks may charge some spread over fixing rate Ensuring RBI fixing rate on Payment and Contract fixing, will help to crystallize the rate contracted on the exchange
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46.00
4,60,00,000 19,80,000 4,79,80,000
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CURRENCY OPTIONS
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Options
An option is a contract which gives the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the underlying at a stated date and at a stated price
Gives the right CALL to buy Gives the right PUT to sell
European
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Definition of Options
A Currency Option is a Financial Contract which gives the BUYER (Holder) the RIGHT, but not the Obligation, to exchange a specified amount of currency versus another at a specified rate on, or up to, a specified date.
The SELLER (or Writer) of the Currency Option contract has the OBLIGATION to deliver the specified amount of currency at the specified rate on the specified date.
Classification of Options
Benefit if the
Long Call
Buy Right to buy the underlying at strike price underlying rises. Profits substantial
Call Options
Benefit if the
underlying is steady/ falling. Profit limited to Premium Sell
Short Call
Obligation to sell the underlying at strike price
Put Options
Sell
Benefit if the
Short Put
Obligation to Buy the underlying at strike price underlying is steady/ rising. Profit limited to Premium
American
Exercised any time prior to expiration
European
Generally exercised on expiration date
Cash settled Settled by the difference between the strike price and the determined value of the underlying.
I N R p e r U S D
December Spot :
46.50
Strike Prices:
OTM: Calls: 47.00, 47.50
I N R p e r U S D
December Spot :
46.50
Strike Prices:
ITM: Puts : 47.00, 47.50
Currency Options
Category Type of Option Description Premium Styled European Call and Put Options 9:00 am to 5:00 pm
Trading Hours
Permitted Lot Size
(Monday to Friday on all business day) One lot denotes $ 1000 Three serial monthly contracts followed by three quarterly contracts of the cycle March/June/September/December Two business days prior to last business day of the month Last working day of the contract month (Excluding Saturdays) INR cash settled at RBI reference rate Mumbai-Interbank
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Contracts Available
Last Trading Day Final Settlement Day Settlement Holiday Calendar
Allows you to buy protection from currency strengthening or weakening to hedge your FX risk Allows you to protect your downside without necessarily giving up upside Allows you to structure a set of bought and sold options to suit your risk profile and/or view Allows you to earn premium by writing options, albeit with unlimited downside
Option - an example
$ 1 Mio Call 45.30 45.50 Rs.45.50 Rs.0.50 Dec 29, 2010 : Notional or principal. : Right to buy underlying.(Importer) : Spot rate on Dec 1, 2010 : 29 Dec Futures. : Strike price(ATMF). : Option premium. : Expiration date(Outward date).
Once Trade Gets Executed Margin reversed to Clients A/C Total Payment Break Even On 29 Dec 2010 Spot Payoff On exercise date 29.12.2010 : 5, 00,000=5,00,000 INR : 45.5000+0.5000=46.0000 : 47.00 :47.00-46.00=1.00 INR (1000*1000*1.00=10, 00,000 INR) Net Payoff On exercise date 29.12.2010 :10,00,000-5,00,000=10,00,000
Sell the future Buy a $ Put Sell a $ Call Buy a $ Put spread Buy a $ Put and sell a $ Call Collar {Examples and payoffs of each strategy to be done in detail}
45.00
45.50 46.00 46.50 47.00
1000
500 0 -500 -1000
USD/INR
*Lot size 1 Contract = 1000 USD
46.46
46.00
Profit (` )
Net Pay-off
USD/INR
43.00
43.50
44.00
44.50
45.00
45.50
46.00
46.50
47.00
47.50
48.00
48.50
49.00
49.50
46.00
Loss (` )
50.00
-200
Premium Pay-off
(`)
Net Pay-off
(`)
46.50
-200
-200
46.46 46.00
600 300
USD/INR
0
44.00 44.50 45.00 45.50 46.00 46.50 47.00
Premium (`)
Break Even (`)
0.20
45.80
Loss (` )
47.50
Exercise Pay-off
(`)
Net Pay-off
USD/INR
46.46
300
47.00
0.33
USD/INR
0
45.00 45.50 46.00 46.50 47.00 47.50 48.00 48.50 49.00 49.50
-300 -600
47.33
-900
Loss (` )
50.00
Net Pay-off
(`)
-410 90 90 90 90
47.50
-380
90
-290
Pay-off from Put purchased Pay-off from Put sold Net Pay-off
43.00
43.50
44.00
44.50
45.00
45.50
46.00
46.50
47.00
47.50
48.00
48.50
49.00
49.50
-500
0.09 46.21
-1000 -1500
Loss (` )
50.00
1000 500 0
USD/INR
Pay-off from Put purchase d (`) 1250 750 -120 -250 -250 -250
Net Pay-off
(`)
Profit (` )
Pay off from Put purchased Pay-off from Call sold Net Pay-off
Spot Price (`) Buy Put Strike Price (`) Put Premium (`) Sell Call Strike Price(`) Call Premium (`) Break Even (`)
46.46
500
200
USD/INR
45.00
45.50
46.00
46.50
47.00
47.50
48.00
-400
0.12 45.87
-700 -1000
Loss (` )
48.50
-100
Pay-off from Futures sold (`) 2500 2000 500 40 -500 -1000 -1500
Pay-off from Call purchase d (`) -80 -80 -80 -80 -80 -80 420
Profit (` )
Pay-off from Future sold Pay-off from Call purchased Pay-off from Put sold Net Pay-off
49.50
Loss (` )
50.00
-200
How can an importer manage risk of rate of USD payable ? Buy the future Buy a $ Call Sell a $ Put Buy a $ Call spread Buy a $ Call and sell a $ Put Collar {Examples and payoffs of each strategy to be done in detail}
Profit (` )
Net Pay-off
43.00
43.50
44.00
44.50
45.00
45.50
46.00
46.50
47.00
47.50
48.00
48.50
49.00
49.50
-700 -1200
46.00
-1700 -2200
Loss (` )
50.00
46.00
USD/INR
-200
USD/INR
46.46
47.00 0.33 47.33
600 300
USD/INR
0
45.00 45.50 46.00 46.50 47.00 47.50 48.00 48.50 49.00 49.50
Loss (` )
50.00
Exercise Pay-off
(`)
Profit (` )
Net Pay-off
Example: Sell 1 Put Option* USD/INR *Lot size 1 Contract = 1000 USD Spot Price (`) Strike Price (`) Premium (`) Break Even (`) 46.46 46.00 0.20 45.80
600 300
USD/INR
0
44.00 44.50 45.00 45.50 46.00 46.50 47.00
Loss (` )
47.50
44.50
45.50 46.55 47.50 48.50 49.00
-880
-880 -330 620 1620 2120
330
330 330 -170 -1170 -1670
-550
-550 0 450 450 450
Pay-off from ITM Call purchased Pay-off from OTM Call sold Profit (` ) Net Pay-off
49.50
Loss (` )
50.00
Net Pay-off
(`)
670
90
760
800
Profit (` )
Pay-off from Call purchased Pay off from Put sold Net Pay-off
500
44.50
45.00
45.50
46.00
46.50
47.00
47.50
-100
45.50
-400
0.09 47.24
-700 -1000 Loss (` )
48.00
0.33
USD/ INR on expiry (`) 45.00 45.50 47.12 47.50 48.00 48.50
Pay-off from Futures purchased (`) -2000 -1500 120 500 1000 1500
Profit (` )
Pay-off from Future purchased Pay-off from Put purchased Pay-off from Call sold Net Pay-off
46.00
0
43.00 43.50 44.00 44.50 45.00 45.50 46.00 46.50 47.00 47.50 48.00 48.50 49.00
USD/INR
49.50
Loss (` )
Breakeven (`)
47.12
50.00
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Pioneer of online trading in India Access to investors from over 150,000 terminals, 1400 locations NSCCL first Clearing Corporation in India; first to provide settlement guarantee, rated CCR - AAA by CRISIL NSDL First depository dematerialization 3rd largest exchange - cash market Largest exchange in the world - stock futures One of the top global derivatives exchanges First in India to introduce DMA (Direct Market Access) First in the world to setup and operate STP central HUB
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