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INTRODUCTION
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THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK
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LITERATURE REVIEW
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The data have three Multiple Regressionvariable which are GDP as dependent, Employment and Unemployment as independent Log-linear Regression Model The range is from 1959 to 2010 and it is quarterly. Normality Distribution
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MULTIPLE REGRESSION
= -5674.722+0.125205X1-0.032600X2 Se = (185.2340) (0.002238) (0.022553) t p = (-30.63542) (55.94006) (-1.445458) = (0.0000) (0.0000) (0.1499)
d = 0.011071
Equation above shows, the estimated value of B1 is -5674.72, B2 is 0.12 and B3 is -0.033. Thus, if the employment goes up by one unit (1%), gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to increase on the average by about 0.12 and when unemployment increase by one unit (1%), gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to decrease on the average by about -0.033. The
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Step 1: Hypothesis Testing H0: The error term is normally distributed H1: The error term is not normally distributed Step 2: Decision Rule
Reject the null hypothesis if probability is less than alpha; otherwise do not reject the null hypothesis.
The probability0.016572 is less than alpha() 0.05. Therefore, we reject the null hypothesis.
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H0: H1:
Step
Reject
the null hypothesis when F-statistic is greater than critical value (c.v)and it will shows that gdp has a correlation between employed and unemployed, otherwise do not reject. 3: Compute F-statistic = 2262.26 (n) = 2 d.f = n-(k+1) = 208-(2+1) = 205
Step
R2=0.962382 Numerator
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STEP 2: The
alternative hypothesis contains statement that is trying to prove the error term is not misspecification error. When probability chi-square is less than alpha(), reject the null hypothesis and it shows that the error term is misspecification error. Chi-Square = 0.0000
STEP 3: Probability
HETEROSCEDASTICITY (WHITE)
Step H0: H1:
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1 : Hypothesis Testing
Step
Reject
the null hypothesis if the probability is less than alpha and this ; otherwise do not reject the null hypothesis. 3 : Compute term(r2) = 149.3701 where the probability ChiSquare is 0.0000 () = 0.05 (5%)
Step Error
alpha
HETEREOSCEDASTICITY (WHITE)
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1 : Hypothesis Testing H0: There is no autocorrelation problem H1: There is autocorrelation problem
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