Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Chapter Objectives
Explain what a balance sheet and a Taccount are. Explain what banks do in five words and also at length. Describe how bankers manage their banks balance sheets. Explain why regulators mandate minimum reserve and capital ratios. Describe how bankers manage credit risk. Describe how bankers manage interest-rate risk. Describe off-balance sheet activities and explain their importance.
What is a balance sheet and what are the major types of bank assets and liabilities?
Assets =
Resources = Resources =
Key Takeaways
A balance sheet is a financial statement that lists what a company owns, its assets or uses of funds, and what it owes, its liabilities or sources of funds. Major bank assets include reserves, secondary reserves, loans, and other assets. Major bank liabilities include deposits, borrowings, and shareholder equity.
2. Assets, Liabilities.
Chapter Objectives Explain what banks do in five words and also at length.
In five words, what do banks do? Without a word limitation, how would you describe what functions they fulfill?
2. Assets, Liabilities.
For banks
ASSETS Reserves: cash and deposits at the Fed
Required reserves + excess reserves = total reserves
Collateralized: mortgage, auto, call loan, etc. Other property, equipment, etc.
LIABILITIES + EQUITY
Liabilities: Deposits Transaction deposits: checking, Non-transaction deposits: savings, Time deposits: CDs Borrowings from banks via Fed Funds, from Federal Reserve via discount window Equity: Shareholders equity Common stock Preferred stock Retained earnings
2. Assets, Liabilities.
Intermediaries
Long-term loans
Investors
Entrepreneurs
2. Assets, Liabilities.
Intermediaries
Short-term loans
Spenders/Entrepreneurs
2. Assets, Liabilities.
Intermediaries
Prepay expense
Savers/Investors
Contingent liabilities
Spenders/Entrepreneurs
2. Assets, Liabilities.
Key takeaways
Banks: lend (1) long (2) and (3) borrow (4) short (5). Like other financial intermediaries, banks are in the business of transforming assets, of issuing liabilities with one set of characteristics to investors and of buying the liabilities of borrowers with another set of characteristics. Generally, banks issue short-term liabilities but buy long-term assets. This raises specific types of management problems bankers must be proficient at solving if they are to succeed.
What are the major problems facing bank managers and why is bank management closely regulated?
Financing
Investments
Profit
Liquidity
Profit
Interest rate
Capital adequacy
Diversification: sectors, industries, markets, regions Reserve decision: invest vs. reserve
Sell large denomination (Saving Deposits) to institutional investors Borrow from other banks in the overnight federal funds market
Regulators in many countries have therefore found it prudent to mandate capital adequacy standards to ensure that some bankers are not taking on high levels of risk in the pursuit of high profits.
4. Credit Risk
4. Credit Risk Managing asymmetric information A banker is a fellow who lends his umbrella when the sun is shining and wants it back the minute it begins to rain. - Mark Twain (1835-1910)
4. Credit Risk
No matter how good bankers are at asset, liability, and capital adequacy management, they will be failures if they cannot manage credit risk Managing credit risk managing Asymmetric information
Adverse selection Moral hazard
create information/reduce asymmetry embed information in binding contract third-party verification maximize efficiency of screening create exposure to systemic risk loan commitments (line of credit) other business services
Specialization
Increase efficiency
Long-term
reduce moral hazard
collateral compensatory balances loan covenants no credit at any interest rate limit credit
Credit rationing
reduce adverse selection reduce moral hazard
4. Credit Risk
Key Takeaways
Credit risk is the chance that a borrower will default on a loan by not fully meeting stipulated payments on time. Bankers manage credit risk by screening applicants (taking applications and verifying the information they contain), monitoring loan recipients, requiring collateral like real estate and compensatory balances, and including a variety of restrictive covenants in loans. They also manage credit risk by trading off between the costs and benefits of specialization and portfolio diversification.
5. Interest-Rate Risk
Chapter Objectives
Describe how bankers manage interest-rate risk.
5. Interest-Rate Risk
Financial intermediaries are exposed to interest rate risk because their assets and liabilities are exposed to interest rate risk. Interest rate risk is determined by the value of risk-sensitive assets, the value of risk-sensitive liabilities, and the change in interest rates.
5. Interest-Rate Risk
Basic Gap Analysis CP = (Ar Lr) x i CP: changes in profitability Ar: risk-sensitive assets Lr: risk-sensitive liabilities i: change in interest rates
5. Interest-Rate Risk
5. Interest-Rate Risk
5. Interest-Rate Risk
To account for differences in maturities of assets and liabilities, duration is used to estimate sensitivity to interest rate changes: %P = -%i x d %P: percentage change in market value %i: change in interest (NOT decimalized, i.e., represent 5% as 5 not .05. Also note the negative sign. The sign is negative because, as we learned interest rates and prices are inversely related.) d: duration (years).
5. Interest-Rate Risk
Strategy Implications
Interest rates are expected to fall: duration of liabilities short (borrow short) and duration of assets long (lend long). Interest rates are expected to rise: duration of liabilities long (borrow long) and duration of assets short (lend short).
5. Interest-Rate Risk
Key Takeaways
Interest rate risk is the chance that interest rates may increase, decreasing the value of bank assets. Bankers manage interest-rate risk by performing analyses like basic gap analysis, which compares a banks interest rate-risk sensitive assets and liabilities, and duration analysis, which accounts for the fact that bank assets and liabilities have different maturities. Such analyses combined with interest rate predictions tell bankers when to increase or decrease their rate-sensitive assets or liabilities and whether to shorten or lengthen the duration of their assets or liabilities. Bankers can also hedge against interest-rate risk by trading derivatives, like swaps and futures, and engaging in other off-balance sheet activities.
Chapter Objectives
Describe off-balance sheet activities and explain their importance.
What are off balance sheet activities and why do bankers engage in them?
6. Off the Balance Sheet The 2008 Crisis: Credit default swaps
Credit default swaps, which were invented by Wall Street in the
late 1990's, are financial instruments that are intended to cover losses to banks and bondholders when a particular bond or security goes into default -- that is, when the stream of revenue behind the loan becomes insufficient to meet the payments that were promised. Credit default swaps are a type of credit insurance contract in which one party pays another party to protect it from the risk of default on a particular debt instrument. If that debt instrument (a bond, a bank loan, a mortgage) defaults, the insurer compensates the insured for his loss.
The New York Times, as quoted in Times Topics
6. Off the Balance Sheet The 2008 Crisis: Credit default swaps
The market for the credit default swaps has been enormous. Since
2000, it has ballooned from $900 billion to more than $45.5 trillion roughly twice the size of the entire United States stock market. Also in sharp contrast to traditional insurance, the swaps are totally unregulated. The swaps' complexity and the lack of information in an unregulated market added to the market's anxiety. Bond insurers like MBNA and Ambac that had written large amounts of the swaps saw their shares plunge in late 2007..
Michael Lewitt, September 16, 2008, The New York Times, as quoted in Times Topics
6. Off the Balance Sheet The 2008 Crisis: Credit default swaps
Even before the market linkages among banks, other financial institutions and non-financial businesses are fully re-established, we will need to start unwinding the massive sovereign credit and guarantees put in place during the crisis, now estimated at $7 trillion. The economics of such a course are fairly clear. The politics of draining off that much credit support in a timely way is quite another matter. Alan Greenspan, Chairman, U.S. Federal Reserve 1987-2006 In The Economist, December 18, 2008