G1

BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Project G1: Resource profiles, extrapolation domains and land use patterns
Bangladesh Water Development Board International Rice Research Institute Institute of Water Modelling Local Government Engineering Department Soil Resource Development Institute

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

Content
Introduction Progresses and outputs Work plan Conclusions

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Work Packages
WP1 Geodatabase of the coastal zone Identification and acquisition of data Inventory of metadata and data format agreements Database development and documentation WP2 Characterisation of test sites and polders Geo-referencing of test sites Identification of key site characteristics and resource profiles of trials Identification of links between geodatabase layers and sites Land cover / land use maps and temporal water and soil salinity mapping WP3 Extrapolation domains for new technologies Identification of areas suitable for new technologies and the policies or decisions that would be necessary to enable those technologies to succeed Roundtable discussion with partners on extrapolation method and preliminary results Final domain maps generated and evaluated with partners and LGOs WP4 Land use plans under future hydrological scenarios Preparation of current land-use plans Identification of future scenarios and drivers of change Multi criteria land-use modeling Roundtable discussion with partners on preliminary results Final land-use models Evaluation and synthesis of land-use maps

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Expected Outcomes/Impact
OUTCOMES
Change in Knowledge, Attitude and/or Skills Project outputs Compilation of a geodatabase covering all thematic spatial information related to the project, including characterization of the test sites and study areas Extrapolation domains for each technology Land-use plans based on trends,constraints, and interventions Change in Practice / Behaviour

Impact

Local GO and extension agents responsible for agricultural technical innovations

Use of domain maps as a decision support tool to more effectively scale up the adoption of new technologies

Learn about new technologies and where its chances of adoption is greatest.

S n i l

Local GO and extension agents responsible for water resource and land management and land use zoning.
Understand the implications of different land use plans under different future scenarios. Use the maps as decision support tools when planning future interventions.

Increased chances of appropriate technology adoption and likelihood of adoption of sustainable land and water use policies.

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Outputs & Progress - IRRI

Medium resolution seasonal rice maps published Rice cropping patterns in Bangladesh (2012) Murali Krishna Gumma, Andrew Nelson, Aileen Maunahan, Prasad S. Thenkabail, and Saidul Islam. Rice Today, Vol 11, No 1 Mapping seasonal rice in a high cropping intensity environment of Bangladesh using MODIS time-series data and spectral matching techniques (submitted) Murali Krishna Gumma, Andrew Nelson, Aileen Maunahan, Prasad S. Thenkabail, and Saidul Islam. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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These will be compared with 2004 rice area maps from SRDI BWDB IRRI IWM LGED SRDI and then updated with high resolution land use maps in 2012

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Study sites georeferenced

Polder 3 Aquaculture to Aqua+Rice or Aqua + Aqua

Polder 30 Intensification from one to two/three crops

Polder 43/2f Intensification from one/two to three crops

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

Outputs & Progress - LGED

Mouza boundaries for target polders Smallest geographic unit for Bangladesh Vital for detailed socio-economic characterization using 2001 or 2011 census data Also necessary for geo-locating household survey data that does not have GPS coordinates
Selected mouza boundaries overlaid on polders

Outputs & Progress - IWM

Salinity, water level and other monitoring in the coastal zone

Regular monitoring of water salinity on alternate days, low and high tide

All Salinity monitoring location in the River of G4 & G1 project G1 BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

16 Monitoring Stations
BWDB IRRI IWM LGED SRDI

Salinity (ppt) 0.0 16-Jun-11 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0

1-Jul-11
16-Jul-11 31-Jul-11 15-Aug-11 30-Aug-11 14-Sep-11 29-Sep-11 14-Oct-11 29-Oct-11 13-Nov-11 Date

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28-Nov-11

13-Dec-11 28-Dec-11 12-Jan-12 27-Jan-12 11-Feb-12 26-Feb-12

BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

POLDER-30

Inside Polder 30 (Station-5, Kharia Khal)

BWDB IRRI
Salinity (ppt)
20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 17-May-11

1-Jun-11
0.0 2.0 16-Jun-11

Salinity (ppt) 27-Mar-12

4.0 6.0 8.0 17-May-11 1-Jun-11 16-Jun-11

12-Mar-12

Salinity (ppt) Salinity (ppt)

0.0 10.0 8.0 16.0 6.0 14.0 4.0 12.0 2.0 17-May-11 17-May-11 1-Jun-11 16-Jun-11 1-Jun-11 16-Jun-11 1-Jul-11 22.0 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 14.0 4.0 12.0 2.0 0.018.0 10.0

IWM
1-Jul-11
16-Jul-11 31-Jul-11 15-Aug-11 30-Aug-11 14-Sep-11 29-Sep-11

1-Jul-11
16-Jul-11 31-Jul-11 15-Aug-11 30-Aug-11

1-Jul-11 16-Jul-11 31-Jul-11

16-Jul-11 31-Jul-11 15-Aug-11

Polder 30 (Station-4, Jhapjhapia river) Date

Polder 30 (Station-3, Pussur river)

Polder 30 (Station-1, Sholmari river)

Polder 30 (Station-2, Pussur river)

LGED
Date

15-Aug-11
30-Aug-11

30-Aug-11

Date

14-Oct-11 29-Oct-11 13-Nov-11 28-Nov-11 13-Dec-11 28-Dec-11 12-Jan-12 27-Jan-12 11-Feb-12 26-Feb-12 12-Mar-12 27-Mar-12

14-Sep-11 29-Sep-11 14-Oct-11 29-Oct-11 13-Nov-11 28-Nov-11 13-Dec-11 28-Dec-11 12-Jan-12 27-Jan-12 11-Feb-12

14-Sep-11

14-Sep-11

Date
29-Sep-11 14-Oct-11 29-Oct-11 13-Nov-11 28-Nov-11 13-Dec-11 28-Dec-11 12-Jan-12

29-Sep-11 14-Oct-11 29-Oct-11

13-Nov-11
28-Nov-11 13-Dec-11 28-Dec-11 12-Jan-12

SRDI

27-Jan-12
11-Feb-12 26-Feb-12

27-Jan-12

26-Feb-12
12-Mar-12 27-Mar-12

11-Feb-12 12-Mar-12 27-Mar-12 26-Feb-12 12-Mar-12 27-Mar-12

Salinity monitoring locations- SRDIthe River of ongoing projects (IWM, BWDB, World bank) in BWDB IRRI IWM LGED

G1

31 Monitoring Stations
BWDB IRRI IWM LGED SRDI

BWDB Rainfall and Evaporation stations in the Coastal Area

BWDB Salinity stations in the Coastal Area

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Outputs & Progress - SRDI

Soil Salinity monitoring at Project sites In the three target polders there are four soil salinity monitoring sites which are synchronized with IWM water salinity monitoring sites. [Polder 3, 30, 43/2F]

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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Outputs & Progress - SRDI

Soil Salinity monitoring of SRDI-networks We continue monitoring soil salinity in 65 SRDI-sites distributed all over the coastal zone. In most places we take one sample each site per month. But from March to May we monitor twice a month. We are measuring salinity of surface (0 15 cm) and sub surface (15 30 cm) soil

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Outputs & Progress - SRDI

Topsoil EC (dS/m) of greater Khulna district. Site. 14A, Location: Krishnanagar, Batiaghata. Soil series: Bajoa, MHL,
18.00 16.00 14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 J F M A M J J A S O N D

Peak soil salinity

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Outputs & Progress - SRDI

Maps of various soil parameters
2009 Soil Salinity map (to be updated in 2012)

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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Future activities - BWDB

Metadata inventory and reports on coastal polder activities Provision of metadata of available information Information on water level, recharge, constraints, gates, etc. Other stations measuring salinity and water flow?

Surface and ground water assessments

Coastal Embankment Improvement Project report

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Future activities - LGED

Provision of transport network and census data Road network map including market locations Census questionnaire and parameters Census data, socio-economic data at Mouza level Description of ongoing LGED activities and development plans for polders and coastal region

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Future activities - SRDI

Land use mapping/salinity mapping and domain methodology Continue the monitoring of soil salinity in 65 stations Detailed soil survey in April 2012 Provision of the methodology for the detailed salinity maps 2009/12 Provision of rice area map for 2004 (pre cyclone assessment) Provision of maps of land types and associates Provision of soil texture map Acquisition of district level crop calendars

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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Future activities IWM (1)

Hydrology, Water level and salinity mapping Continue the monitoring of water salinity and level Maps of maximum water salinity and its interpolation methods Water salinity threshold maps showing the date of start and end dates of 1 ppt and 4 ppt for 2010, 11 and 12 Minimum and maximum water levels and maps assessing potentials of gravity irrigation and drainage for three polders Acquisition of metrological data Temp, Rainfall, Humidity and evaporation Acquisition of rainfall days data for December 2008 to May 2009 for correct interpretation of monthly soil salinity measurements

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Future activities IWM (2)

Climate change impacts and Scenarios (From G4) Impact of climate change on coastal zoneincrease in temperature, high rainfall..2030-2050 (15-18 months) Scenarios of external hydrological drivers (CC, Upstream flows, SLR)

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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Future activities IRRI (1)

Sharing data/information with Partners Inventory of satellite data Provision of remote sensing imagery to G1 partners Provision of Bangladesh poverty map and mediums resolution rice area map to G1 partners

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

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BWDB IRRI IWM LGED - SRDI

Future activities IRRI (2)

Land use mapping/salinity mapping and domain methodology Detailed land cover mapping for 2009 and 2012 Development of improved soil salinity index/mapping using remote sensing. Testing and validated with SRDI data Draft of methodology for extrapolation domains

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

Conclusions
Much progresses have been made, despite of 12-month delay in recruitment of a GIS and land use modelling specialist at the IRRI Dhaka office. Position should be filled in May/June 2012 This has delayed outputs by ~ 6 months . Revised G1 milestones and timelines have been submitted to CPWF By the end of 2012: Complete WP1 and WP2 and start on WP3

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Thank you

BWDB

IRRI

IWM

LGED

SRDI

Reflections on GBDC
At the start of the GBDC we postulated that cropping intensity & diversification in polders 3, 30, 43/2/F can be greatly enhanced. Our work in the last year strengthen our belief: there is huge potential We are making good progress on the soft side of the community-based water management, but software alone can not work if the hard ware is out of date and it is completely out of date. Rehabitation is not adequate, they need redesigned according to their new roles. Roles of the polder have to be revised to serve the new cropping systems, which varies accordingly the polders some cases opposite to their original functions e.g. intake saline water instead of salinity control The real possibility of increasing cropping intensity and diversification rest on having adequate development funds to revamp the water management of the polders. Great to see many on going/being planned work by LEGD, BWDB on the polders question: how we can join hand with these GO in

Reflections on GBDC
zonation (at regional level and within polders) is fundamental in solving conflicts between agriculture and brackish water aquaculture as well as between high land and lowland. zonation/land use maps to be developed by GBDC will be useful for the GOB coastal zone planning and development. How do we incorporate community-based management in to the zoning/land use mapping? Preliminary results from homestead survey reveal the importance of homestead economy (homestead area ~ 20% of total land area) we may have to focus more on homestead, especially on livelihood of the tenants??