WASHING MACHINE

Forecasting Exponential smoothing

Alpha 0.4 Forecasting

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis 100
Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err 90
Month 1 13 13 0 0 0 00.00%
80
Month 2 7 13 -6 6 36 85.71%
Month 3 23 10.6 12.4 12.4 153.76 53.91% 70
Month 4 32 15.56 16.44 16.44 270.2736 51.38% 60
Month 5 58 22.136 35.864 35.864 1286.226 61.83%

Value
50
Month 6 60 36.4816 23.5184 23.5184 553.1151 39.20%
Month 7 90 45.88896 44.11104 44.11104 1945.784 49.01% 40
Month 8 93 63.53338 29.46662 29.46662 868.2819 31.68% 30
Month 9 63 75.32003 -12.32 12.32003 151.783 19.56% 20
Month 10 39 70.39202 -31.392 31.39202 985.4586 80.49%
10
Month 11 37 57.83521 -20.8352 20.83521 434.1059 56.31%
Month 12 29 49.50113 -20.5011 20.50113 420.2961 0.7069354 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Total 70.75169 252.8484 7105.085 599.78%
Average 5.895974 21.0707 592.0904 49.98% Time
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
Demand Forecast
SE 26.65536
Next period 41.3006753

Forecasting Exponential smoothing

Alpha 0.2 Forecasting

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis 100
Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err 90
Month 1 13 13 0 0 0 00.00%
80
Month 2 7 13 -6 6 36 85.71%
Month 3 23 11.8 11.2 11.2 125.44 48.70% 70
Month 4 32 14.04 17.96 17.96 322.5616 56.13% 60
Month 5 58 17.632 40.368 40.368 1629.575 69.60%
Value

50
Month 6 60 25.7056 34.2944 34.2944 1176.106 57.16%
40
Month 7 90 32.56448 57.43552 57.43552 3298.839 63.82%
Month 8 93 44.05158 48.94842 48.94842 2395.947 52.63% 30
Month 9 63 53.84127 9.158733 9.158733 83.88239 14.54% 20
Month 10 39 55.67301 -16.673 16.67301 277.9894 42.75%
10
Month 11 37 52.33841 -15.3384 15.33841 235.2669 41.46%
Month 12 29 49.27073 -20.2707 20.27073 410.9024 0.6989906 0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Total 161.0829 277.6472 9992.51 602.39%
Average 13.42358 23.13727 832.7092 50.20% Time

Bias MAD MSE MAPE

Demand Forecast
SE 31.61093
Next period 45.216583