Sheet1

Tabel Peramalan DES 0.3

Periode (t) Pengunjung (x) S1t S2t
1 3121 3121 3121
2 3005 3086.20 3110.56
3 2912 3033.94 3087.57
4 2967 3013.86 3065.46
5 2961 2998.00 3045.22
6 2593 2876.50 2994.61
7 3157 2960.65 2984.42
8 2705 2883.96 2954.28
9 2649 2813.47 2912.04
10 2838 2820.83 2884.67
11 2457 2711.68 2832.78
12 3330 2897.18 2852.10
13 2625 2815.52 2841.12
14 3278 2954.27 2875.07
15 2995 2966.49 2902.49
16 2862 2935.14 2912.29
17 3246 3028.40 2947.12
18 3055 3036.38 2973.90
19 3285 3110.97 3015.02
20 2534 2937.88 2991.88
21 2660 2854.51 2950.67
22 2745 2821.66 2911.96
23 2914 2849.36 2893.18
24 2398 2713.95 2839.41

Total 69292.00 70241.78 70898.81

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 Sheet1

0.7
S1t-S2t at bt Ft Error Error^2
0
-24.36 3061.84 -10.44
-53.634 2980.31 -22.99 3051.40 -139.40 19432.36
-51.6012 2962.26 -22.11 2957.32 9.68 93.70
-47.22102 2950.78 -20.24 2940.14 20.86 435.06
-118.10484 2758.40 -50.62 2930.54 -337.54 113934.60
-23.7684762 2936.88 -10.19 2707.78 449.22 201799.31
-70.3244951 2813.63 -30.14 2926.70 -221.70 49148.82
-98.5677398 2714.90 -42.24 2783.49 -134.49 18088.00
-63.8458331 2756.98 -27.36 2672.66 165.34 27338.11
-121.095974 2590.58 -51.90 2729.62 -272.62 74321.51
45.08009484 2942.26 19.32 2538.69 791.31 626178.82
-25.60084 2789.92 -10.97 2961.58 -336.58 113283.32
79.19957747 3033.47 33.94 2778.95 499.05 249050.51
63.99382007 3030.48 27.43 3067.41 -72.41 5242.97
22.85355515 2957.99 9.79 3057.91 -195.91 38379.17
81.27800537 3109.68 34.83 2967.79 278.21 77401.73
62.48096549 3098.86 26.78 3144.51 -89.51 8011.99
95.94712906 3206.91 41.12 3125.64 159.36 25396.46
-53.9996924 2883.88 -23.14 3248.03 -714.03 509842.39
-96.1536626 2758.36 -41.21 2860.73 -200.73 40293.81
-90.3052784 2731.35 -38.70 2717.15 27.85 775.59
-43.822095 2805.54 -18.78 2692.65 221.35 48995.15
-125.461347 2588.49 -53.77 2786.76 -388.76 151133.05

-657.03 66463.74 -281.59 63647.43 -481.43 2398576.45

MSE 109026

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