Sheet1

Tabel Peramalan DES 0.3 0.7

Periode (t) Pengunjung (x) S1t S2t S1t-S2t
1 3121 3121 3121 0
2 3005 3086.20 3110.56 -24.36
3 2912 3033.94 3087.57 -53.634
4 2967 3013.86 3065.46 -51.6012
5 2961 2998.00 3045.22 -47.22102
6 2593 2876.50 2994.61 -118.10484
7 3157 2960.65 2984.42 -23.7684762
8 2705 2883.96 2954.28 -70.3244951
9 2649 2813.47 2912.04 -98.5677398
10 2838 2820.83 2884.67 -63.8458331
11 2457 2711.68 2832.78 -121.095974
12 3330 2897.18 2852.10 45.08009484
13 2625 2815.52 2841.12 -25.60084
14 3278 2954.27 2875.07 79.19957747
15 2995 2966.49 2902.49 63.99382007
16 2862 2935.14 2912.29 22.85355515
17 3246 3028.40 2947.12 81.27800537
18 3055 3036.38 2973.90 62.48096549
19 3285 3110.97 3015.02 95.94712906
20 2534 2937.88 2991.88 -53.9996924
21 2660 2854.51 2950.67 -96.1536626
22 2745 2821.66 2911.96 -90.3052784
23 2914 2849.36 2893.18 -43.822095
24 2398 2713.95 2839.41 -125.461347

Total 69292.00 70241.78 70898.81 -657.03

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 Sheet1

at bt Ft Error Error^2

3061.84 -10.44
2980.31 -22.99 3051.40 -139.40 19432.36
2962.26 -22.11 2957.32 9.68 93.70
2950.78 -20.24 2940.14 20.86 435.06
2758.40 -50.62 2930.54 -337.54 113934.60
2936.88 -10.19 2707.78 449.22 201799.31
2813.63 -30.14 2926.70 -221.70 49148.82
2714.90 -42.24 2783.49 -134.49 18088.00
2756.98 -27.36 2672.66 165.34 27338.11
2590.58 -51.90 2729.62 -272.62 74321.51
2942.26 19.32 2538.69 791.31 626178.82
2789.92 -10.97 2961.58 -336.58 113283.32
3033.47 33.94 2778.95 499.05 249050.51
3030.48 27.43 3067.41 -72.41 5242.97
2957.99 9.79 3057.91 -195.91 38379.17
3109.68 34.83 2967.79 278.21 77401.73
3098.86 26.78 3144.51 -89.51 8011.99
3206.91 41.12 3125.64 159.36 25396.46
2883.88 -23.14 3248.03 -714.03 509842.39
2758.36 -41.21 2860.73 -200.73 40293.81
2731.35 -38.70 2717.15 27.85 775.59
2805.54 -18.78 2692.65 221.35 48995.15
2588.49 -53.77 2786.76 -388.76 151133.05

66463.74 -281.59 63647.43 -481.43 2398576.45

MSE 109026

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