Data

State UG1970 UG1980 UG1990 UG2000 UG2006 UG2007 UG2008 UG2009 UG2010 UG2011
Alabama 103936 164306 218589 233962 258408 268183 310941 311740 327327 318686
Alaska 9471 21296 29833 27953 29853 30616 30717 32406 33653 34932
Arizona 109619 202716 264148 342490 567192 624147 704245 828631 795388 796986
Arkansas 52039 77607 90425 115172 147391 152168 158374 168352 175895 179281
California 1257245 1790993 1808740 2256708 2434774 2529522 2652241 2735579 2714172 2685893
Colorado 123395 162916 227131 263872 308383 310637 325232 352034 372025 365820
Connecticu 124700 159632 168604 161243 176716 179005 184178 191806 199384 201638
Delaware 25260 32939 42004 43897 51238 52343 53088 55174 55731 56516
Florida 235525 411891 588086 707684 885651 913793 972699 1053221 1125469 1143698
Georgia 126511 184159 251786 346204 435403 453711 476581 532493 568723 565459
Hawaii 36562 47181 56436 60182 66893 66601 70104 74809 78073 79018
Idaho 34567 43018 51881 65594 77872 78846 80456 84450 85201 90142
Illinois 452146 644245 729246 743918 830676 837018 859242 900824 906889 892881
Indiana 192668 247253 284832 314334 368013 380477 401956 441294 459423 457824
Iowa 108902 140449 170515 188974 238634 256259 286891 350631 381842 372146
Kansas 102485 136605 163733 179968 193146 194102 198991 210843 214859 216662
Kentucky 98591 143066 177852 188341 248914 258213 257583 277907 291102 293766
Louisiana 120728 160058 186840 223800 224147 224754 236375 251853 263638 265856
Maine 34134 43264 57186 58473 66149 67173 67796 70170 72985 72297
Maryland 149607 225526 259700 273745 319460 327597 338914 358941 377967 380097
Massachuse 303809 418415 417833 421142 451526 463366 477056 497290 508302 508554
Michigan 392726 520131 569803 567631 634489 643279 652799 686049 698125 685526
Minnesota 160788 206691 253789 293445 375899 392393 411055 442281 465336 457752
Mississippi 73967 102364 122883 137389 151137 155232 160441 173136 178197 179090
Missouri 183930 234421 289899 321348 377098 384366 396409 424944 444695 456997
Montana 30062 35177 35876 42240 47501 47371 47840 51588 53312 54042
Nebraska 66915 89488 112831 112117 124500 127378 130458 138645 144682 142875
Nevada 13669 40455 61728 87893 112270 116276 120490 125320 129360 121013
New Hamps 29400 46794 59510 61718 70669 70724 71739 74234 75594 77444
New Jersey 216121 321610 324286 335945 385656 398136 410160 432127 444091 443750
New Mexic 44461 58283 85500 110739 131828 134375 142413 152752 162652 157555
New York 806479 992237 1048286 1043395 1160364 1172811 1234858 1289604 1305595 1318142
North Caro 171925 287537 352138 404652 495633 502330 528977 568865 586042 585013
North Dako 31495 34069 37878 40248 49519 49945 51327 54433 56903 55772
Ohio 376267 489145 557690 549553 619942 630497 653585 711095 744947 735026
Oklahoma 110155 160295 173221 178016 206236 206382 206757 220650 230573 230154
Oregon 122177 157458 165741 183065 197594 202928 220474 243412 250331 259061
Pennsylvan 411044 507716 604060 609521 707132 725397 740288 778123 803593 787789
Rhode Isla 45898 66869 78273 75450 81734 82900 83893 84673 85110 84644
South Caro 69518 132476 159302 185931 212422 217755 230695 246667 257293 260002
South Dako 30639 32761 34208 43221 48931 49747 50444 53342 58370 55899
Tennessee 135103 204581 226238 263910 290530 297785 307610 332918 351988 350275
Texas 442225 701391 901437 1033973 1252709 1269098 1327148 1447868 1536858 1564387
Utah 81687 93987 121303 163776 202151 203679 217224 236590 252107 264396
Vermont 22209 30628 36398 35489 41095 42191 42946 44975 45572 45143
Virginia 151915 280504 353442 381893 456172 478268 500796 545036 576010 588465
Washingto 183544 303603 263384 320840 348154 352075 362535 382532 388110 372841
West Virgi 63153 81973 84790 87888 100519 116848 125333 142484 152431 162308
Wisconsin 202058 269086 299774 307179 340158 343747 352875 373228 383986 376603
Wyoming 15220 21147 31326 30004 34693 35246 35936 37093 38298 38092

Page 1
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99576
R Square 0.991538
Adjusted R 0.991362
Standard E 43553.39
Observatio 50

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 1.07E+13 1.07E+13 5624.357 2.09E-51
Residual 48 9.11E+10 1.9E+09
Total 49 1.08E+13

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 16656.42 8157.416 2.041874 0.04668 254.8326 33058 254.8326 33058
X Variable 1.137109 0.015162 74.99571 2.09E-51 1.106623 1.167595 1.106623 1.167595
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99576
R Square 0.991538
Adjusted R 0.991362
Standard E 43553.39 201
Observatio 50 4

ANOVA
3
df SS MS F Significance F 3.14036088746658
Regression 1 1.07E+13 1.07E+13 5624.357 2.09E-51
Residual 48 9.11E+10 1.9E+09 2
Total 49 1.08E+13
1
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 16656.42 8157.416 2.041874 0.04668 254.8326 33058 254.8326 33058
0
X Variable 1.137109 0.015162 74.99571 2.09E-51 1.106623 1.167595 1.106623 1.167595 0 500000 1000000

-1

RESIDUAL OUTPUT -2

ObservationPredicted YResiduals
Standard Residuals
-3
1 310494.4 8191.552 0.19003
2 50602.53 -15670.53 -0.363529
3 661615.5 135370.5 3.140361
4 184256 -4975.031 -0.115412
5 2785260 -99366.55 -2.305131
6 367321.5 -1501.464 -0.034831
7 217601.7 -15963.75 -0.370331
8 74919.6 -18403.6 -0.426932
9 1023738 119960 2.782863
10 511757 53701.97 1.245792
11 92721.04 -13703 -0.317887
12 105205.4 -15063.36 -0.349444
13 961225.5 -68344.47 -1.585473
14 435127.3 22696.73 0.526525
15 288009.3 84136.74 1.951826
16 236284.4 -19622.45 -0.455207
17 299698.7 -5932.736 -0.137629
18 271536 -5679.961 -0.131765
19 91875.03 -19578 -0.454176
20 379917.2 179.7807 0.004171
21 530090.6 -21536.64 -0.499613
22 738139.5 -52613.49 -1.220542
23 444094.5 13657.49 0.31683
24 188515.6 -9425.641 -0.218658
25 445457.9 11539.1 0.267687
26 70670.23 -16628.23 -0.385746
27 158226.5 -15351.47 -0.356127
28 144319.6 -23306.63 -0.540673
29 97014.76 -19570.76 -0.454008
30 455189.3 -11439.28 -0.265371
31 166559.2 -9004.206 -0.208882
32 1336117 -17974.63 -0.41698
33 580245.1 4767.898 0.110607
34 72964.91 -17192.91 -0.398846
35 721598 13428.03 0.311507
36 251169.2 -21015.2 -0.487516
37 241342.3 17718.69 0.411043
38 820742.5 -32953.49 -0.764464
39 109596.9 -24952.87 -0.578863
40 258203.4 1798.641 0.041725
41 72296.29 -16397.29 -0.380389
42 347020.7 3254.341 0.075495
43 1441123 123264.1 2.859512
44 246524.1 17871.89 0.414597
45 63385.91 -18242.91 -0.423204
46 535373.6 53091.35 1.231627
47 412545.4 -39704.42 -0.921074
48 130957.5 31350.54 0.727278
49 403453.1 -26850.1 -0.622876
50 56106.13 -18014.13 -0.417897
 2011 vs 2006

3.14036088746658

500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000

UG2006 UG2011
258408 318686 0.19003
29853 34932 -0.363529
567192 796986 3.140361 244076
147391 179281 -0.115412 UG201
2434774 2685893 -2.305131 3000000
308383 365820 -0.034831 f(x) = 1.13710888020849 x + 16656
176716 201638 -0.370331 2500000 R² = 0.991537909546604
51238 56516 -0.426932
885651 1143698 2.782863 2000000
435403 565459 1.245792
66893 79018 -0.317887 1500000
77872 90142 -0.349444
830676 892881 -1.585473 1000000
368013 457824 0.526525
238634 372146 1.951826 500000
193146 216662 -0.455207
248914 293766 -0.137629 0
0 500000 1000000 150000
224147 265856 -0.131765
66149 72297 -0.454176
319460 380097 0.004171
451526 508554 -0.499613
634489 685526 -1.220542
375899 457752 0.31683
151137 179090 -0.218658
377098 456997 0.267687
47501 54042 -0.385746
124500 142875 -0.356127
20
112270 121013 -0.540673 4
70669 77444 -0.454008
385656 443750 -0.265371
3
131828 157555 -0.208882 3.14036088746658
1160364 1318142 -0.41698
495633 585013 0.110607 2
49519 55772 -0.398846
619942 735026 0.311507 1
206236 230154 -0.487516
197594 259061 0.411043
0
707132 787789 -0.764464 0 500000 1000000
81734 84644 -0.578863
212422 260002 0.041725 -1
48931 55899 -0.380389
290530 350275 0.075495 -2
1252709 1564387 2.859512
202151 264396 0.414597
-3
41095 45143 -0.423204
456172 588465 1.231627
348154 372841 -0.921074
100519 162308 0.727278
340158 376603 -0.622876
34693 38092 -0.417897
 UG2011

f(x) = 1.13710888020849 x + 16656.416456354

R² = 0.991537909546604

500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000

2011 vs 2006

3.14036088746658

500000 1000000 1500000 2000000 2500000 3000000