CUADRO N 3.

3
PROYECTO MEJORAMIENTO CARRETERA CRUCE CHUCHIRAS - CORRALES
ANLISIS DE FRECUENCIA DE LA PRECIPITACIN MXIMA EN 24 HORAS
SERIE: 1964 - 2008
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* Extremwertanalyse - Programm: E X T R E M Version: 4.41 I H W Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) *
* Datensatz: CHUCHIRA.DAT QUEBRADA TINGO Berechnet am: 25. NOV 2012 um: 08:30:27 *
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AUSGANGSDATEN ( 44 WERTE AUS 44 JAHREN)

25.0 38.9 39.5 45.0 46.7 51.3 53.0 54.5 55.4 58.6 67.0 70.9
72.0 73.4 75.0 75.0 76.0 76.4 77.0 77.0 81.0 82.5 86.0 88.0
91.0 91.0 92.4 94.9 99.7 100.0 100.5 104.0 114.0 115.0 115.2 116.5
118.5 123.0 124.3 125.0 130.0 131.0 136.0 165.0

statistische Parameter: Mittelwert 87.09

Standardabweichung 30.67
Variationskoeffizient .3521
Schiefekoeffizient .1995

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* Extremwertanalyse - Programm: E X T R E M Version: 4.41 I H W Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) *
* Datensatz: CHUCHIRA.DAT QUEBRADA TINGO Berechnet am: 27. NOV 2012 um: 08:30:27 *
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PARAMETER DER VERTEILUNGSFUNKTIONEN NACH DER MOMENTENMETHODE

I--------------------I-------------------I-------------------I-------------I-----I
I Verteilung T R I Parameter Code I
I--------------------I-------------------I-------------------I-------------I-----I
I NORMAL - - I xm 87.09 I sx 30.67 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-NORMAL-2 - - I ym2 4.409 I sy2 .3419 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-NORMAL-3 - - I ym3 6.134 I sy3 .6625E-01 I xo 375.26 I 0. I
I GUMBEL - - I m .4182E-01 I xo 73.29 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-GUMBEL - - I m 3.256 I xo 4.221 I -- I 0. I
I GAMMA - - I r 8.066 I lam .9261E-01 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-GAMMA - - I r 124.6 I lam 28.34 I -- I 0. I
I PEARSON-3 - - I r 100.5 I lam .3269 I xo -220.38 I 2. I
I LOG-PEARS-3 - - I r 6.738 I lam -6.589 I xo 5.42 I 1. I
I WEIBULL-2 - - I lam .6609E-06 I s 3.108 I -- I 16. I
I LOG-WEIB-2 - - I lam .1139E-08 I s 13.55 I -- I 16. I
I WEIBULL-3 - - I lam .3723E-06 I s 3.213 I xo -2.64 I 18. I
I LOG-WEIB-3 - - I lam .0000 I s .0000 I xo .00 I 16. I
I EXPONENT-1 - - I lam .1148E-01 I -- I -- I 0. I
I EXPONENT-2 - - I lam .3261E-01 I xo 56.43 I -- I 4. I
I--------------------I-------------------I-------------------I-------------I-----I

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* Extremwertanalyse - Programm: E X T R E M Version: 4.41 I H W Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) *
* Datensatz: CHUCHIRA.DAT QUEBRADA TINGO Berechnet am: 27. NOV 2012 um: 08:30:27 *
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E R G E B N I S T A B E L L E : Art der Analyse : MaXimalwerte

Signifikanzniveau fuer den Streubereich: ALPHA = 95.0 [%]

I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Jaehrlichkeiten I 5.0 I 10.0 I 15.0 I 20.0 I 50.0 I 100.0 I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Verteilung T R I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I NORMAL 1 3 I 112.9 9. I 126.4 10. I 133.1 10. I 137.5 10. I 150.1 11. I 158.4 11. I
I LOG-NORMAL-2 2 5 I 109.5 13. I 127.3 15. I 137.3 16. I 144.2 16. I 165.8 18. I 182.0 19. I
I LOG-NORMAL-3 1 2 I 112.5 13. I 127.0 15. I 134.3 15. I 139.2 16. I 153.3 17. I 163.0 18. I
I GUMBEL 2 6 I 109.2 13. I 127.1 15. I 137.2 16. I 144.3 17. I 166.6 18. I 183.3 19. I
I LOG-GUMBEL 3 8 I 107.9 18.*I 135.9 25.*I 154.8 28.*I 169.5 31.*I 225.7 >40 *I 279.7 >40 *I
I GAMMA 1 4 I 111.3 11. I 128.0 13. I 137.9 13. I 142.9 14. I 161.0 15. I 173.8 15. I
I LOG-GAMMA 2 7 I 112.8 14.*I 135.6 17.*I 150.4 19.*I 158.5 20.*I 189.5 23.*I 214.1 25.*I
I PEARSON-3 1 1 I 112.5 10. I 127.0 10. I 135.1 11. I 139.2 11. I 153.3 12. I 162.9 12. I
I EXPONENT-1 - 9 I 140.2 32. I 200.5 34. I 235.9 35. I 260.9 36. I 340.7 37. I 401.1 38. I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I

I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Jaehrlichkeiten I 200.0 I 500.0 I 1000.0 I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Verteilung T R I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I NORMAL 1 3 I 166.1 11. I 175.4 12. I 181.9 12. I
I LOG-NORMAL-2 2 5 I 198.2 20. I 219.8 21. I 236.3 21. I
I LOG-NORMAL-3 1 2 I 171.9 18. I 183.0 19. I 190.9 19. I
I GUMBEL 2 6 I 199.9 20. I 221.9 21. I 238.4 22. I
I LOG-GUMBEL 3 8 I 346.3 >40 *I 459.1 >40 *I 568.1 >40 *I
I GAMMA 1 4 I 186.0 16. I 201.6 16. I 213.0 17. I
I LOG-GAMMA 2 7 I 239.6 27.*I 275.1 30.*I 303.9 32.*I
I PEARSON-3 1 1 I 171.8 12. I 182.7 13. I 190.7 13. I
I EXPONENT-1 - 9 I 461.4 38. I 541.3 39. I 601.6 39. I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I

*: bei den LOG-Verteilungen wird der Streubereich

ueber die Logarithmen geschaetzt !

Anpassungstest: N-Omega-2
Testergebnis : T = 1 (a=0.10): sehr gut; = 2 (a=0.05): gut;
= 3 (a=0.01): befr.; = - (a<0.01): verworfen
R : Rangnummer