CUADRO N° 9.

4
ESTUDIO HIDROLÓGICO SISTEMA INTEGRAL CHUQUIBAMBILLA
ANÁLISIS DE FRECUENCIA DE LA PRECIPITACIÓN MÁXIMA EN 24 HORAS; SERIE SANTA ROSA: 1964 - 2011
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* Extremwertanalyse - Programm: E X T R E M Version: 4.41 I H W Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) *
* Datensatz: PARINA.DAT PARINA Berechnet am: ENE 2013 um: 22:07:06 *
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AUSGANGSDATEN ( 48 WERTE AUS 48 JAHREN)

14.9 16.4 19.4 22.8 23.2 25.4 25.8 27.1 27.7 27.7 28.3 28.6
28.7 29.0 29.3 30.2 30.9 31.4 32.0 32.8 32.8 33.3 33.6 34.2
34.8 34.9 35.0 35.6 35.7 36.1 36.1 37.3 39.0 39.6 39.7 41.3
41.6 41.6 41.9 42.2 44.2 46.3 47.6 48.4 49.2 49.5 53.3 68.4

statistische Parameter: Mittelwert 35.10; Standardabweichung 9.898

Variationskoeffizient .2820; Schiefekoeffizient .6894
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* Extremwertanalyse - Programm: E X T R E M Version: 4.41 I H W Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) *
* Datensatz: PARINA.DAT PARINA Berechnet am: ENE 2013 um: 22:07:06 *
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PARAMETER DER VERTEILUNGSFUNKTIONEN NACH DER MOMENTENMETHODE
I--------------------I-------------------I-------------------I-------------I-----I
I Verteilung T R I Parameter Code I
I--------------------I-------------------I-------------------I-------------I-----I
I NORMAL - - I xm 35.10 I sx 9.898 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-NORMAL-2 - - I ym2 3.520 I sy2 .2766 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-NORMAL-3 - - I ym3 3.756 I sy3 .2229 I xo 8.75 I 0. I
I GUMBEL - - I m .1296 I xo 30.65 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-GUMBEL - - I m 4.412 I xo 3.388 I -- I 0. I
I GAMMA - - I r 12.57 I lam .3583 I -- I 0. I
I LOG-GAMMA - - I r 146.5 I lam 41.64 I -- I 0. I
I PEARSON-3 - - I r 8.417 I lam .2931 I xo 6.38 I 0. I
I LOG-PEARS-3 - - I r 17.24 I lam -14.29 I xo 4.73 I 1. I
I WEIBULL-2 - - I lam .4758E-06 I s 3.981 I -- I 16. I
I LOG-WEIB-2 - - I lam .5281E-08 I s 14.73 I -- I 16. I
I WEIBULL-3 - - I lam .1627E-04 I s 3.180 I xo 6.41 I 0. I
I LOG-WEIB-3 - - I lam .7992E-09 I s 15.57 I xo -.19 I 16. I
I EXPONENT-1 - - I lam .2849E-01 I -- I -- I 0. I
I EXPONENT-2 - - I lam .1010 I xo 25.20 I -- I 4. I
I--------------------I-------------------I-------------------I-------------I-----I
Anpassungstest: N-Omega-2
Testergebnis : T = 1 (a=0.10): sehr gut; = 2 (a=0.05): gut;
= 3 (a=0.01): befr.; = - (a<0.01): verworfen
R : Rangnummer
Erl„uterung der Fehlercodes :
1 : rechtsschief; 16 : Parameteriteration abgebrochen; 4 : Xo > Xmin
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* Extremwertanalyse - Programm: E X T R E M Version: 4.41 I H W Universitaet Karlsruhe (TH) *
* Datensatz: PARINA.DAT PARINA Berechnet am: ENE 2013 um: 22:07:06 *
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E R G E B N I S T A B E L L E : Art der Analyse : MaXimalwerte
Signifikanzniveau fuer den Streubereich: ALPHA = 95.0 [%]
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Jaehrlichkeiten I 5.0 I 10.0 I 20.0 I 25.0 I 50.0 I 100.0 I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Verteilung T R I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I NORMAL 1 6 I 43.4 8. I 47.8 8. I 51.4 8. I 52.4 8. I 55.4 9. I 58.1 9. I
I LOG-NORMAL-2 1 2 I 42.6 10. I 48.2 11. I 53.3 12. I 54.8 13. I 59.6 14. I 64.3 14. I
I LOG-NORMAL-3 1 1 I 42.8 10. I 48.2 11. I 53.0 12. I 54.4 13. I 58.9 13. I 63.1 14. I
I GUMBEL 1 5 I 42.2 10. I 48.0 12. I 53.6 14. I 55.3 14. I 60.8 16. I 66.1 17. I
I LOG-GUMBEL 2 9 I 41.6 13.*I 49.3 17.*I 58.0 22.*I 61.1 23.*I 71.7 28.*I 83.9 33.*I
I GAMMA 1 3 I 43.0 9. I 48.2 10. I 52.8 11. I 54.2 11. I 58.3 11. I 62.1 12. I
I LOG-GAMMA 1 8 I 43.0 10.*I 49.2 12.*I 55.1 14.*I 57.0 14.*I 62.8 16.*I 68.7 17.*I
I PEARSON-3 1 4 I 42.9 9. I 48.3 10. I 53.1 11. I 54.5 11. I 58.9 12. I 63.0 13. I
I WEIBULL-3 1 7 I 43.6 8. I 48.1 8. I 51.7 8. I 52.7 8. I 55.6 9. I 58.2 9. I
I EXPONENT-1 - 10 I 56.5 30. I 80.8 33. I 105.2 34. I 113.0 34. I 137.3 35. I 161.6 36. I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Jaehrlichkeiten I 200.0 I 500.0 I 1000.0 I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I Verteilung T R I Wert % I Wert % I Wert % I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
I NORMAL 1 6 I 60.6 10. I 63.6 10. I 65.7 10. I
I LOG-NORMAL-2 1 2 I 68.9 15. I 74.9 16. I 79.4 16. I
I LOG-NORMAL-3 1 1 I 67.2 15. I 72.5 16. I 76.4 16. I
I GUMBEL 1 5 I 71.5 18. I 78.6 19. I 84.0 19. I
I LOG-GUMBEL 2 9 I 98.3 38.*I 121.0 >40 *I 141.6 >40 *I
I GAMMA 1 3 I 65.8 13. I 70.4 13. I 73.7 14. I
I LOG-GAMMA 1 8 I 74.6 19.*I 82.5 21.*I 88.7 22.*I
I PEARSON-3 1 4 I 66.9 13. I 71.9 14. I 75.5 14. I
I WEIBULL-3 1 7 I 60.5 9. I 63.3 10. I 65.3 10. I
I EXPONENT-1 - 10 I 186.0 36. I 218.1 37. I 242.5 37. I
I--------------------I----------------I----------------I----------------I
*: bei den LOG-Verteilungen wird der Streubereich
ueber die Logarithmen geschaetzt !
Anpassungstest: N-Omega-2

Testergebnis : T = 1 (a=0.10): sehr gut; = 2 (a=0.05): gut;

= 3 (a=0.01): befr.; = - (a<0.01): verworfen
R : Rangnummer